Patterson Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.8/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Cost burden runs 60% here against 50.2% across Baltimore City.

The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,222 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Baltimore commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $91,196, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.