Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lynn

Tract 25009205200 · Essex County, MA · pop 6,193 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

25009205200 is a census tract in the Central Square Historic District area of Lynn, MA. It scores 6.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,193. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 9% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units1,994

Renter share19.7%

SVI overall0.82

Poverty rate7.7%

Median income$103,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4799, -70.9531 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Square Historic District scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynn

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

7.7% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$2,009 rent vs county FMR

5.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynn

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynn

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynn

7.2

How Central Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

78%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
73%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.3%Housing insecurity
10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
21.0%Food insecurity
21.3%SNAP enrollment
11.0%Transit barriers
10.3%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
31.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Square Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Average gross rent is $2,009, 17% above the Lynn average.

That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

54% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Essex County average of 6.0 closely.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $103,375.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009205200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009205200?

Census tract 25009205200 in the Central Square Historic District neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009205200?

Median gross rent is $2,009/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009205200?

7.7% of residents in tract 25009205200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,193.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009205200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 80th, minority 73th, housing 69th.

Is tract 25009205200 considered part of Central Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009205200 fall within Central Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009205200 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009205200 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009205200 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Lynn at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.