Neighborhood · Lynn, MA

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

16 census tracts · pop 72,081 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 6.1–8

Central Square Historic District takes in 16 census tracts of Lynn, MA, population 72,081. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.3/10, in the Elevated tier. 53% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Lynn rate of 34.6%.

Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.1 to 8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. SNAP participation is 31.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 23.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7.2/10.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,629, close to the Lynn average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $71,698.

57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

16 tracts · population-weighted

Central Square Historic District vs Lynn How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

53.1% +53%

Lynn: 34.6%

Average gross rent

$1,629 -5%

Lynn: $1,722

Average HH income

$71,698 -4%

Lynn: $74,715

Poverty rate

15.5% +13%

Lynn: 13.7%

Renter share

57.3% +10%

Lynn: 51.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Square Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 16 tracts span score 6.1–8

Why Central Square Historic District scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Rent control risk

53% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

57% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts

9.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Economic stress

15.5% below poverty line · Range 1.1–9.1 across tracts

3.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–6.2 across tracts

3.5

Risk score comparison

Central Square Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Central Square Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.9 points from 6.1 to 8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.9 7.2 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.3 6.3 6.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

16 tracts in Central Square Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
25009206900	8	4,758	56%	$1,215
25009206100	8	4,296	57%	$1,554
25009206800	8	4,061	59%	$1,498
25009206700	8	4,048	59%	$1,731
25009206500	8	3,359	79%	$1,497
25009207200	8	2,570	43%	$611
25009207000	8	2,521	47%	$482
25009206200	7.9	6,456	44%	$1,518
25009206000	7.9	3,552	60%	$1,594
25009205900	7.2	4,574	45%	$2,195
25009206600	7.1	5,517	50%	$1,780
25009205500	6.8	4,949	64%	$1,645
25009206300	6.6	4,706	48%	$1,589
25009206400	6.3	6,556	48%	$1,921
25009205200	6.3	6,193	54%	$2,009
25009207100	6.1	3,965	44%	$2,039

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 16 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 83%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 75%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Central Square Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

22.6%Housing insecurity
14.1%Utility shutoff threat
28.3%Food insecurity
29.7%SNAP enrollment
13.6%No health insurance
34.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Central Square Historic District

What is the eviction-risk score for Central Square Historic District?

Central Square Historic District scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 16 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Central Square Historic District compare to Lynn overall?

Central Square Historic District scores 0.7 points higher than Lynn overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,629 vs $1,722.

What is the average rent in Central Square Historic District?

Average gross rent in Central Square Historic District is $1,629/month (pop-weighted across 16 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Central Square Historic District residents are renters?

57% of Central Square Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Lynn). The neighborhood has 72,081 residents.

Is Central Square Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Central Square Historic District sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Central Square Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Central Square Historic District is census tract 25009206900 (score 8/10). Across the 16 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.1 to 8, a spread of 1.9 points.

How safe is Central Square Historic District for landlords?

Central Square Historic District carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 16 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynn as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Central Square Historic District?

Central Square Historic District has 72,355 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (48.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (27%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central Square Historic District

5.4 Vinnin Square 6 tracts · pop 27,349 6.9 Federal Street District 5 tracts · pop 24,365 7.5 Charter Street Historic District 3 tracts · pop 14,381 5.8 Danversport 4 tracts · pop 13,843 3 Marblehead Neck 3 tracts · pop 13,234 6.1 Beverly Center Business District 5 tracts · pop 21,648

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