Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lynn

Tract 25009206300 · Essex County, MA · pop 4,706 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

25009206300 is a census tract in the Central Square Historic District area of Lynn, MA. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,706. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 28% Owners 46%

Tract context

Occupied units1,740

Renter share53.6%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate6.0%

Median income$88,214

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4740, -70.9412 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Square Historic District scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynn

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

6.0% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,589 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynn

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynn

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynn

7.2

How Central Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

73%Socioeconomic
38%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
46%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.0%Housing insecurity
13.3%Utility-shutoff threat
27.6%Food insecurity
27.1%SNAP enrollment
13.9%Transit barriers
13.9%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
32.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Square Historic District

Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

SNAP participation runs 27.1% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 23.0% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the Essex County average of 6.0 closely. Average gross rent is $1,589, close to the Lynn average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $88,214.

54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009206300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009206300?

Census tract 25009206300 in the Central Square Historic District neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009206300?

Median gross rent is $1,589/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009206300?

6.0% of residents in tract 25009206300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,706.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009206300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 38th, minority 81th, housing 46th.

Is tract 25009206300 considered part of Central Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009206300 fall within Central Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009206300 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009206300 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009206300 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Lynn at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.