Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Lynn

Tract 25009207100 · Essex County, MA · pop 3,965 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 25009207100 covers the Central Square Historic District area of Lynn in Massachusetts. Home to 3,965 residents, it scores 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 92% of US census tracts.

About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,039 a month against an average household income of $112,273 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.5

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 30% Owners 46%

Tract context

Occupied units1,090

Renter share54.1%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate7.1%

Median income$112,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4596, -70.9655 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Square Historic District scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynn

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

7.1% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$2,039 rent vs county FMR

5.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynn

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynn

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynn

7.2

How Central Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

63%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
67%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.1%Housing insecurity
12.7%Utility-shutoff threat
29.7%Food insecurity
26.6%SNAP enrollment
14.4%Transit barriers
16.3%No health insurance
18.2%Frequent mental distress
32.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Square Historic District

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynn eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009207100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009207100?

Census tract 25009207100 in the Central Square Historic District neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009207100?

Median gross rent is $2,039/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009207100?

7.1% of residents in tract 25009207100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,965.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009207100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 92th, minority 86th, housing 67th.

Is tract 25009207100 considered part of Central Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009207100 fall within Central Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009207100 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009207100 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009207100 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Lynn at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.