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Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lynn

Tract 25009206600 · Essex County, MA · pop 5,517 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

25009206600 is a census tract in the Central Square Historic District area of Lynn, MA. It scores 7.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,517 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 26% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,074
Renter share52.3%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$85,429

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 16 tracts In Central Square Historic District
Low
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 22 tracts In Lynn
Moderate
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#48 of 173 tracts In Essex County
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#526 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4676, -70.9275 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Square Historic District scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lynn
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,780 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynn
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynn
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynn
7.2

How Central Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Square Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.1This tracttract 2066006.6Lynnparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Square Historic District

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the Essex County average of 6.0. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,780, close to the Lynn average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $85,429.

52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009206600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009206600?

Census tract 25009206600 in the Central Square Historic District neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25009206600?

Median gross rent is $1,780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009206600?

10.1% of residents in tract 25009206600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,517.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009206600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 95th, minority 76th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 25009206600 considered part of Central Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009206600 fall within Central Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25009206600 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25009206600 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009206600 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Lynn at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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