Census Tract · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Saugus Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25009208301 · Essex County, MA · pop 3,082

25009208301 is a census tract in Saugus, MA. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,082. around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Essex County average of 50.7%.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 11% Owners 64%

Tract context

Occupied units1,189

Renter share35.2%

SVI overall0.65

Poverty rate5.5%

Median income$84,725

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saugus and the region

Centroid at 42.4710, -71.0187 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saugus scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Saugus

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

5.5% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$543 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Saugus

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Saugus

5.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Saugus

5.3

How Saugus compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
76%Household composition
39%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
11%Grade B
0%Grade C
4%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.7%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
11.8%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
30.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saugus

Average gross rent is $543, 76% below the Saugus average. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.8/10. Against average income of $84,725, annual rent is just 8%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Essex County average of 6.0 closely.

35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009208301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009208301?

Census tract 25009208301 in Saugus scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009208301?

Median gross rent is $543/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009208301?

5.5% of residents in tract 25009208301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,082.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009208301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 76th, minority 39th, housing 88th.

What share of households in tract 25009208301 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009208301 compare to Saugus overall?

Tract 25009208301 scores 5.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Saugus at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saugus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25009208301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Saugus

Top eight tracts in Saugus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.