Census Tract · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Saugus Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 25009208301 · Essex County, MA · pop 3,082

Saugus anchors census tract 25009208301, which lands at 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 70% of renter households, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $543 a month against an average household income of $84,725 a year, roughly 8% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.

Risk score

2.2

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 11% Owners 64%

Tract context

Occupied units1,189

Renter share35.2%

SVI overall0.65

Poverty rate5.5%

Median income$84,725

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saugus and the region

Centroid at 42.4710, -71.0187 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saugus scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Saugus

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

5.5% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$543 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Saugus

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Saugus

5.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Saugus

5.3

How Saugus compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
76%Household composition
39%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
11%Grade B
0%Grade C
4%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.7%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
11.8%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
30.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saugus

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Saugus eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Part of this tract, about 4% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009208301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009208301?

Census tract 25009208301 in Saugus scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009208301?

Median gross rent is $543/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009208301?

5.5% of residents in tract 25009208301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,082.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009208301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 76th, minority 39th, housing 88th.

What share of households in tract 25009208301 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009208301 compare to Saugus overall?

Tract 25009208301 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Saugus at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saugus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25009208301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Saugus

Top eight tracts in Saugus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.