Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Fields at Chestnut Eviction Risk: Moderate , Longmeadow

Tract 25013802602 · Hampden County, MA · pop 1,867 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

25013802602 is a census tract in the Fields at Chestnut area of Springfield, MA. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,867 residents. At $1,667 a month, rents run 46% over what the rest of Springfield commands.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 8% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units878

Renter share11.8%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate3.0%

Median income$70,278

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Longmeadow and the region

Centroid at 42.0705, -72.5446 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fields at Chestnut scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Longmeadow

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

3.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,667 rent vs county FMR

6.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Longmeadow

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Longmeadow

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Longmeadow

7.0

How Fields at Chestnut compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

51%Socioeconomic
48%Household composition
52%Racial/ethnic minority
26%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fields at Chestnut. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.3%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
13.7%Food insecurity
16.1%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
5.8%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
31.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fields at Chestnut

31% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Hampden County average of 46.5%. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 7/10. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Hampden County average of 5.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $70,278.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013802602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013802602?

Census tract 25013802602 in the Fields at Chestnut neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013802602?

Median gross rent is $1,667/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013802602?

3.0% of residents in tract 25013802602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,867.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013802602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 48th, minority 52th, housing 26th.

Is tract 25013802602 considered part of Fields at Chestnut?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013802602 fall within Fields at Chestnut (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013802602 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013802602 compare to Longmeadow overall?

Tract 25013802602 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Longmeadow at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Longmeadow; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Longmeadow

Top eight tracts in Longmeadow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.