Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Aldenville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicopee

Tract 25013811200 · Hampden County, MA · pop 4,165 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 25013811200 sits in Aldenville in Chicopee eviction risk, Massachusetts eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. That is riskier than about 92% of US census tracts.

About 82% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,089 a month against an average household income of $71,986 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 4% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units1,976

Renter share21.7%

SVI overall0.54

Poverty rate12.4%

Median income$71,986

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicopee and the region

Centroid at 42.1811, -72.5894 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aldenville scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chicopee

6.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

12.4% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$1,089 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chicopee

6.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chicopee

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chicopee

6.7

How Aldenville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

59%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
45%Grade C
15%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.5%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
20.1%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
37.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aldenville

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicopee eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hampden County average of 6.6 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Part of this tract, about 15% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013811200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013811200?

Census tract 25013811200 in the Aldenville neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013811200?

Median gross rent is $1,089/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013811200?

12.4% of residents in tract 25013811200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,165.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013811200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 63th, minority 27th, housing 44th.

Is tract 25013811200 considered part of Aldenville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013811200 fall within Aldenville (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013811200 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013811200 compare to Chicopee overall?

Tract 25013811200 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Chicopee at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicopee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25013811200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 15% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicopee

Top eight tracts in Chicopee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.