Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally

Aldenville Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicopee

Tract 25013811200 · Hampden County, MA · pop 4,165 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 25013811200 covers part of the Aldenville area of Chicopee, MA, and scores 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 82% here against 46.5% across Hampden County.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 4% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units1,976

Renter share21.7%

SVI overall0.54

Poverty rate12.4%

Median income$71,986

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicopee and the region

Centroid at 42.1811, -72.5894 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aldenville scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chicopee

6.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

12.4% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$1,089 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chicopee

6.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chicopee

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chicopee

6.7

How Aldenville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

59%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
45%Grade C
15%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.5%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
20.1%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
37.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aldenville

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.5/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

It tracks the Hampden County average of 5.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,089, close to the Chicopee average.

Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $71,986.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013811200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013811200?

Census tract 25013811200 in the Aldenville neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013811200?

Median gross rent is $1,089/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013811200?

12.4% of residents in tract 25013811200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,165.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013811200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 63th, minority 27th, housing 44th.

Is tract 25013811200 considered part of Aldenville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013811200 fall within Aldenville (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013811200 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013811200 compare to Chicopee overall?

Tract 25013811200 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicopee at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicopee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25013811200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 15% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicopee

Top eight tracts in Chicopee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.