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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Springfield Railroad District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25013812300 · Hampden County, MA · pop 5,026 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 25013812300, home to 5,026 residents in Downtown Springfield Railroad District in Springfield, scores 6.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,151 a month while the average household earns $39,011 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 31% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,300
Renter share70.6%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$39,011

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Downtown Springfield Railroad District
Very Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Springfield
Very High
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#239 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.0970, -72.6140 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Springfield Railroad District scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,151 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
5.7

How Downtown Springfield Railroad District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Springfield Railroad District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 812300Springfield: 6.76.7Springfieldparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Springfield Railroad District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Springfield Railroad District

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hampden County average of 6.6 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013812300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013812300?

Census tract 25013812300 in the Downtown Springfield Railroad District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013812300?

Median gross rent is $1,151/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013812300?

21.6% of residents in tract 25013812300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,026.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013812300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 68th, minority 54th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 25013812300 considered part of Downtown Springfield Railroad District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013812300 fall within Downtown Springfield Railroad District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013812300 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013812300 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013812300 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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