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Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Chelmsford Center Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 25017317102 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,065 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 25017317102, home to 5,065 residents in the Chelmsford Center Historic District area of Middlesex, scores 4.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,400 a month against an average household income of $131,719 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 14% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,705
Renter share22.3%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$131,719

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Chelmsford Center Historic District
Very Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#239 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Low
Within state
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#1,294 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very Low
National
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#77,226 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middlesex County and the region

Centroid at 42.6010, -71.3249 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chelmsford Center Historic District scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,400 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Chelmsford Center Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chelmsford Center Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.71.7This tracttract 317102County: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 90Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.7%Peak (2014)
  • 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250173171022012: 14 filings (3.34/100 renter HHs)2013: 16 filings (3.82/100 renter HHs)2014: 24 filings (5.73/100 renter HHs)2015: 15 filings (3.58/100 renter HHs)2016: 21 filings (9.38/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chelmsford Center Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chelmsford Center Historic District

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Massachusetts eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 90 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 5.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.7% of renter households in 2014.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017317102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017317102?

Census tract 25017317102 in the Chelmsford Center Historic District neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017317102?

Median gross rent is $2,400/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017317102?

3.8% of residents in tract 25017317102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,065.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017317102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 47th, minority 39th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 25017317102 considered part of Chelmsford Center Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017317102 fall within Chelmsford Center Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017317102?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 90 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017317102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.17% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017317102 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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