Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Chelmsford Center Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 25017317102 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,065 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 25017317102 sits in the Chelmsford Center Historic District area of Middlesex County, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. Population here is 5,065. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,705
Renter share22.3%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$131,719
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middlesex County and the region
Centroid at 42.6010, -71.3249 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chelmsford Center Historic District scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,400 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Chelmsford Center Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 90Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.7%Peak (2014)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chelmsford Center Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 9.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 3.5%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chelmsford Center Historic District
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.3 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 90 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.5% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2014 at 5.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017317102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017317102?
Census tract 25017317102 in the Chelmsford Center Historic District neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017317102?
Median gross rent is $2,400/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017317102?
3.8% of residents in tract 25017317102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,065.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017317102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 47th, minority 39th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 25017317102 considered part of Chelmsford Center Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017317102 fall within Chelmsford Center Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017317102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 90 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017317102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.17% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017317102 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Related