Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally
Chelmsford Center Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 25017317203 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,936 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 25017317203 belongs to the Chelmsford Center Historic District neighborhood of Middlesex, Massachusetts. It is home to 3,936 residents and scores 4.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 26% of US census tracts.
37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,175 a month against an average household income of $132,868 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,399
Renter share14.4%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$132,868
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
40
th percentile
Low
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
National
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middlesex County and the region
Centroid at 42.6122, -71.3466 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chelmsford Center Historic District scores 1.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,175 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Chelmsford Center Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 23Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2012)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chelmsford Center Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.5%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 3.1%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chelmsford Center Historic District
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Massachusetts eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017317203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017317203?
Census tract 25017317203 in the Chelmsford Center Historic District neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017317203?
Median gross rent is $2,175/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017317203?
4.9% of residents in tract 25017317203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,936.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017317203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 30th, minority 38th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 25017317203 considered part of Chelmsford Center Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017317203 fall within Chelmsford Center Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017317203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 23 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017317203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.11% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017317203 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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