Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Ayer Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 25017325102 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,354 · 63% of tract blocks fall in Ayer
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 25017325102 in Ayer in Middlesex County ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,354 residents. It lands near the 50th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,201 a month against an average household income of $88,040 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,987
Renter share34.9%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$88,040
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
National
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ayer and the region
Centroid at 42.5634, -71.5960 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ayer scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ayer
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,201 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ayer
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ayer
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ayer
5.4
How Ayer compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.4%Food insecurity
- 16.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ayer
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ayer, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017325102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017325102?
Census tract 25017325102 in Ayer scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017325102?
Median gross rent is $1,201/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017325102?
14.7% of residents in tract 25017325102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,354.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017325102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 59th, minority 48th, housing 89th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 25017325102 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 25017325102 compare to Ayer overall?
Tract 25017325102 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Ayer at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ayer; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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