Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Davis Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Somerville
Tract 25017350400 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 6,021 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 7.3/10, tract 25017350400 in the Davis Square area of Somerville, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,021. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units2,350
Renter share48.3%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$160,960
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Somerville and the region
Centroid at 42.3984, -71.1151 · click any tract to drill in
Why Davis Square scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,803 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
How Davis Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 29%Grade B
- 71%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 18Total filings over 5 yrs
- 0.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.4%Peak (2012)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Davis Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.5%Food insecurity
- 7.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 3.4%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 19.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Davis Square
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.5% against 31.5% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 7.5% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. The filing record is not thin: 18 evictions over 5 years of observation. Average gross rent is $2,803, 11% above the Somerville average.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 0.4% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Somerville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 0.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017350400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017350400?
Census tract 25017350400 in the Davis Square neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017350400?
Median gross rent is $2,803/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017350400?
6.1% of residents in tract 25017350400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,021.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017350400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 1th, minority 40th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 25017350400 considered part of Davis Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017350400 fall within Davis Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017350400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 18 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017350400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.23% of renter households, peaking at 0.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25017350400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25017350400 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25017350400 compare to Somerville overall?
Tract 25017350400 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Somerville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25017350400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Somerville
Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
West Somerville
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Winter Hill
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Brickbottom
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Magoun Square
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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