Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 25017350202 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,292 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 25017350202 sits in the Winter Hill, Somerville eviction risk, Massachusetts eviction laws area of Somerville eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.4/10.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,633
Renter share50.1%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$129,826
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Somerville and the region
Centroid at 42.3923, -71.0989 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,344 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
How Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 9.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 21.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Cost burden runs 33% here against 43.0% across Middlesex County.
Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Somerville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017350202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017350202?
Census tract 25017350202 in the Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017350202?
Median gross rent is $2,344/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017350202?
5.6% of residents in tract 25017350202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,292.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017350202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 28th, minority 49th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 25017350202 considered part of Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017350202 fall within Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25017350202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017350202 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017350202 compare to Somerville overall?
Tract 25017350202 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Somerville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25017350202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Somerville
Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
West Somerville
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Winter Hill
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Brickbottom
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Magoun Square
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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