Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,080 of 84,120 nationally
Avalon Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilmington
Tract 25017331101 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,203 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 25017331101 runs through the Avalon Oaks neighborhood of Wilmington. With 3,203 residents, it scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It lands near the 35th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
34% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,051 monthly, set against $168,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,189
Renter share20.0%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$168,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilmington and the region
Centroid at 42.5856, -71.1540 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avalon Oaks scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,051 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.9
How Avalon Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000-2018)
- 51Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2013)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avalon Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.3%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 3.1%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avalon Oaks
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilmington, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 51 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.5% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017331101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017331101?
Census tract 25017331101 in the Avalon Oaks neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017331101?
Median gross rent is $3,051/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017331101?
1.8% of residents in tract 25017331101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,203.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017331101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 21th, minority 28th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 25017331101 considered part of Avalon Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017331101 fall within Avalon Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017331101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 51 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017331101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.64% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017331101 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017331101 compare to Wilmington overall?
Tract 25017331101 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Wilmington at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington
Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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