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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Ten Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Somerville

Tract 25017350106 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 1,864 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 25017350106 covers part of the Ten Hills area of Somerville, MA, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 49% Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units1,217
Renter share94.2%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$139,688

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Ten Hills
Very High
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 25 tracts In Somerville
Moderate
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#92 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#377 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Somerville and the region

Centroid at 42.3936, -71.0798 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ten Hills scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$3,433 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0

How Ten Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ten Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 3501067.9Somervilleparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ten Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ten Hills

Average gross rent is $3,433, 36% above the Somerville average. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

The voucher gap is 21.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 43.0% across Middlesex County. SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Cambridge. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017350106

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017350106?

Census tract 25017350106 in the Ten Hills neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017350106?

Median gross rent is $3,433/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017350106?

10.4% of residents in tract 25017350106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,864.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017350106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 2th, minority 59th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 25017350106 considered part of Ten Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017350106 fall within Ten Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25017350106 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017350106 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25017350106 compare to Somerville overall?

Tract 25017350106 scores 7.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Somerville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25017350106 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Somerville

Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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