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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

Allston Heights Eviction Risk: High , Boston

Tract 25025000604 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 2,347 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 25025000604 sits in the Allston Heights area of Boston eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.5/10. Population here is 2,347. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 34% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,175
Renter share80.5%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate36.1%
Median income$60,060

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Allston Heights
Very High
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 206 tracts In Boston
High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3510, -71.1398 · click any tract to drill in

Why Allston Heights scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
36.1% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$2,194 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Allston Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Allston Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.5This tracttract 0006048.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 74Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Allston Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Allston Heights

Set annual rent against average income of $60,060 and the ratio lands at 44%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is economic stress at 9/10.

The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Suffolk County average of 47.0%.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #2,657 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 3.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,194, close to the Boston average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025000604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025000604?

Census tract 25025000604 in the Allston Heights neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025000604?

Median gross rent is $2,194/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025000604?

36.1% of residents in tract 25025000604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,347.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025000604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 13th, minority 65th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 25025000604 considered part of Allston Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025000604 fall within Allston Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25025000604 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25025000604 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25025000604 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025000604 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25025000604 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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