Allston Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston

This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 53 evictions over 5 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 1.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.