Within neighborhood
88
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #1,942 of 84,120 nationally
Nubian Square Eviction Risk: High , Boston
Tract 25025081301 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 2,694 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Here is how census tract 25025081301, in the Nubian Square neighborhood of Boston eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.4/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,694. That is riskier than roughly 98% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $845 a month while the average household earns $33,182 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 92% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 51%
Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units1,108
Renter share91.5%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate50.3%
Median income$33,182
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3187, -71.0993 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nubian Square scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
50.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$845 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Nubian Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 96%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 108Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Nubian Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.1%Housing insecurity
- 25.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 45.9%Food insecurity
- 55.2%SNAP enrollment
- 25.3%Transit barriers
- 17.7%No health insurance
- 21.5%Frequent mental distress
- 46.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nubian Square
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 34.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 25.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025081301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025081301?
Census tract 25025081301 in the Nubian Square neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025081301?
Median gross rent is $845/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025081301?
50.3% of residents in tract 25025081301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,694.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025081301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 100th, minority 89th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 25025081301 considered part of Nubian Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025081301 fall within Nubian Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25025081301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25025081301 struggle to pay rent?
About 34.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25025081301 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025081301 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25025081301 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 96% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Dorchester Heights
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Pill Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Mount Bowdoin
8.1
/ 10 · High
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