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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Milton Upper Mills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Boston

Tract 25025101001 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 6,346 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 25025101001, home to 6,346 residents in Milton Upper Mills in Boston, scores 6.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #9,486 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,762 a month while the average household earns $93,452 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 17% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,276
Renter share43.7%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$93,452

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Milton Upper Mills
Moderate
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#141 of 206 tracts In Boston
Low
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#160 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Low
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#395 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.2721, -71.1017 · click any tract to drill in

Why Milton Upper Mills scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,762 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Milton Upper Mills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Milton Upper Mills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 101001Boston: 7.17.1Bostonparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 435Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak (2012)
  • 99Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250251010012012: 107 filings (8.53/100 renter HHs)2013: 67 filings (5.34/100 renter HHs)2014: 77 filings (6.14/100 renter HHs)2015: 85 filings (6.78/100 renter HHs)2016: 99 filings (7.99/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 195Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 9.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.46×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 8 filings (0.94× baseline)2020-02-01: 12 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 5 filings (0.69× baseline)2020-12-01: 8 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 5 filings (0.56× baseline)2021-04-01: 5 filings (0.61× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.22× baseline)2021-06-01: 4 filings (0.41× baseline)2021-07-01: 3 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.11× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.28× baseline)2021-12-01: 5 filings (0.56× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.24× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (0.22× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (0.43× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (0.41× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (0.29× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (0.26× baseline)2022-09-01: 22 filings (2.75× baseline)2022-10-01: 8 filings (0.91× baseline)2022-11-01: 9 filings (1.24× baseline)2022-12-01: 5 filings (0.56× baseline)2023-01-01: 5 filings (0.59× baseline)2023-02-01: 8 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-04-01: 4 filings (0.48× baseline)2023-05-01: 16 filings (1.73× baseline)2023-06-01: 5 filings (0.51× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (0.29× baseline)2023-08-01: 9 filings (0.77× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (0.88× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (0.34× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Milton Upper Mills

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 435 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 7.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.5% of renter households in 2012.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025101001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025101001?

Census tract 25025101001 in the Milton Upper Mills neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025101001?

Median gross rent is $1,762/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025101001?

6.4% of residents in tract 25025101001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,346.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025101001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 95th, minority 99th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 25025101001 considered part of Milton Upper Mills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025101001 fall within Milton Upper Mills (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025101001?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 435 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025101001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.96% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25025101001 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25025101001 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25025101001 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025101001 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25025101001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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