Milton Upper Mills Eviction Risk: Elevated

Severe burden reaches 37%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.2/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

SNAP participation is 32.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.6/10. 17.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,762 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Boston commands. The filing record is not thin: 435 evictions logged in this tract.

The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 8.5% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 8.0% in 2016 against a 8.5% peak. Among the 57 mapped neighborhoods of Boston, it ranks #45 by risk, the lower third.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 6.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.