Within neighborhood
90
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025110104 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 1,966 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Here is how census tract 25025110104, in Forest Hills in Boston eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.2/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 1,966. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $79,464 a year. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units695
Renter share61.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate21.1%
Median income$79,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.2934, -71.1209 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hills scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
21.1% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Forest Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 23Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.27×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.7%Housing insecurity
- 15.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.4%Food insecurity
- 32.0%SNAP enrollment
- 15.9%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 24.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.27x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025110104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025110104?
Census tract 25025110104 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025110104?
21.1% of residents in tract 25025110104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,966.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025110104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 95th, minority 83th, housing 69th.
Q4
Is tract 25025110104 considered part of Forest Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025110104 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 25025110104 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.27× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 25025110104 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25025110104 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025110104 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 25025110104 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Mount Bowdoin
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Dorchester Heights
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Dorchester Heights
7.6
/ 10 · High
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