Within neighborhood
90
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hills Eviction Risk: High , Boston
Tract 25025110104 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 1,966 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 25025110104 sits in the Forest Hills area of Boston eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.8/10. Population here is 1,966. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units695
Renter share61.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate21.1%
Median income$79,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.2934, -71.1209 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hills scores 8.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
21.1% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Forest Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 23Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.27×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.7%Housing insecurity
- 15.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.4%Food insecurity
- 32.0%SNAP enrollment
- 15.9%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Cost burden runs 57% here against 47.0% across Suffolk County.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 28.4% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 24.7% against 14.2% nationally.
It sits 0.9 points above the Suffolk County average of 7.9. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.6 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025110104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025110104?
Census tract 25025110104 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025110104?
21.1% of residents in tract 25025110104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,966.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025110104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 95th, minority 83th, housing 69th.
Q4
Is tract 25025110104 considered part of Forest Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025110104 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 25025110104 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.27× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 25025110104 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25025110104 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025110104 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 25025110104 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Church Green
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Lower Mills
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Mount Bowdoin
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Brookline Village
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Grove Hall
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Dorchester Heights
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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