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Neighborhood

Eviction Risk in Church Green , Boston

Tract 25025070402 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,005 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 25025070402 sits in the Church Green neighborhood of Boston, Massachusetts. It has a population of 3,005 and an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). 49% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 17% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,512/month against a median household income of $75,091 — roughly 40% rent-to-income at the medians.

Eviction Risk
7.5
Elevated tier · 1-10 composite
Confidence 100%
Rent burden
49%
17% severely burdened (≥50%)
Median rent
$2,512
vs county FMR_2BR: -11%
Median household income
$75,091
33.3% below poverty line
Where

Tract location

Centroid at 42.3455, -71.0652. Drag to explore.

Demographics

Racial & ethnic composition

White-Asian Neighborhood — 3,341 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).

Hispanic / Latino: 6.5% White (non-Hispanic): 37.8% Black (non-Hispanic): 14.8% Asian (non-Hispanic): 34.9% Other / Multiracial: 6%
  • Hispanic / Latino 6.5%
  • White (non-Hispanic) 37.8%
  • Black (non-Hispanic) 14.8%
  • Asian (non-Hispanic) 34.9%
  • Other / Multiracial 6%
Score breakdown

How the 7.5/10 score is composed

Signal Score Source
Filing rate (county) 5.5 Eviction Lab via counties
State political climate 6.2 states.state_political_baseline
Regional political climate 8.2 2024 county presidential margin
Local political climate 8.5 Boston (inherited)
Rent control risk 8.0 Boston (inherited)
Eviction process difficulty 8.0 state law
Tenant organizing strength 8.5 Boston (inherited)
Housing court bias 8.0 Boston (inherited)
Economic stress (tract) 8.3 this tract poverty rate
Supply constraint (tract) 3.9 tract rent vs county FMR
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 85Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.3%Peak (2016)
  • 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 — 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250250704022012: 5 filings (0.73/100 renter HHs)2013: 14 filings (2.04/100 renter HHs)2014: 13 filings (1.90/100 renter HHs)2015: 23 filings (3.35/100 renter HHs)2016: 30 filings (2.28/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 500% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 164Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.39×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 — 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 8 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 7 filings (4.67× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 8 filings (6.40× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2021-11-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-07-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-09-01: 6 filings (4.80× baseline)2022-10-01: 9 filings (7.20× baseline)2022-11-01: 7 filings (3.50× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 7 filings (3.11× baseline)2023-03-01: 7 filings (28.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2023-05-01: 9 filings (4.50× baseline)2023-06-01: 5 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 6 filings (4.80× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Church Green. Closest by composite score.

Tract · MA
Church Green
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Church Green
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Church Green
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Church Green
6.0
/ 10 · Elevated
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

1930s HOLC grade · historical context

Dominant grade: D — hazardous — formally redlined; mortgage applications routinely denied

Approximately 93% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Boston. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025070402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070402?

Census tract 25025070402 in the Church Green neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.

What is the median rent in tract 25025070402?

Median gross rent is $2,512/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070402?

33.3% of residents in tract 25025070402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,005.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 39th, minority 72th, housing 92th.

Is tract 25025070402 considered part of Church Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070402 fall within Church Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025070402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 85 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025070402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.06% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 25025070402 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 25025070402 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Was tract 25025070402 redlined?

The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is D (Hazardous / redlined). Roughly 93% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Boston. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.