Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Boston
Tract 25025070901 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 1,277 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 25025070901 covers part of the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District area of Boston, MA, and scores 9.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,277. At $823 a month, rents run 62% under what the rest of Boston commands.
Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units627
Renter share73.8%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$40,406
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3377, -71.0796 · click any tract to drill in
Why Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 9.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$823 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Frederick Douglass Square Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 42Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.4%Housing insecurity
- 14.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.1%Food insecurity
- 29.9%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.
The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 25.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025070901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070901?
Census tract 25025070901 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025070901?
Median gross rent is $823/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070901?
20.4% of residents in tract 25025070901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,277.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 82th, minority 86th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 25025070901 considered part of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070901 fall within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25025070901 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25025070901 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25025070901 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025070901 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25025070901 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Kane Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Germantown
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Audubon Circle
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Grove Hall
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Related
Explore the geography around tract 25025070901
Parent city ↑
Boston
8.1 / 10
Parent county ↑
Suffolk County
Parent state ↑
Massachusetts
Sibling tract →
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5 / 10
Sibling tract →
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5 / 10
Sibling tract →
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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