Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally
Chelsea Square Eviction Risk: High
Tract 25025160400 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,281 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 8.8/10, tract 25025160400 in the Chelsea Square area of Chelsea, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,281 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.
Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 50%
Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units1,555
Renter share90.2%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate22.3%
Median income$74,329
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chelsea and the region
Centroid at 42.3953, -71.0425 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chelsea Square scores 8.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chelsea
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
22.3% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,871 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chelsea
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chelsea
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chelsea
7.9
How Chelsea Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 37%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 234Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2016)
- 55Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 53% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 166Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.1%Housing insecurity
- 13.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.1%Food insecurity
- 27.1%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chelsea Square
90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. SNAP participation runs 27.1% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Housing insecurity runs 23.1% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.
Court records carry 234 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.3% of renter households.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chelsea. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #4,622 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025160400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025160400?
Census tract 25025160400 in the Chelsea Square neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025160400?
Median gross rent is $1,871/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025160400?
22.3% of residents in tract 25025160400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,281.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025160400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 48th, minority 80th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 25025160400 considered part of Chelsea Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025160400 fall within Chelsea Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025160400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 234 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025160400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.77% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025160400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025160400 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025160400 compare to Chelsea overall?
Tract 25025160400 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chelsea at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chelsea eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025160400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 37% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chelsea
Top eight tracts in Chelsea ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Bellingham Hill
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Park Square
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Mill Hill
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Bellingham Square Historic District
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Cary Square
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Prattville
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Admirals Hill
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Cary Square
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Related