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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Mill Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Chelsea

Tract 25025170601 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 6,347 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 25025170601 (Mill Hill in Chelsea, Massachusetts) comes in at 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 85th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,864 a month against an average household income of $101,932 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 12% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,801
Renter share31.1%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$101,932

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Mill Hill
Very Low
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 14 tracts In Chelsea
Very Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#228 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Very Low
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#686 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chelsea and the region

Centroid at 42.4073, -71.0077 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mill Hill scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chelsea
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,864 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chelsea
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chelsea
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chelsea
7.1

How Mill Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mill Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 170601Chelsea: 6.46.4Chelseaparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 80Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.4%Peak (2012)
  • 12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250251706012012: 23 filings (2.44/100 renter HHs)2013: 13 filings (1.38/100 renter HHs)2014: 17 filings (1.80/100 renter HHs)2015: 15 filings (1.59/100 renter HHs)2016: 12 filings (1.45/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 51Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.85×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (5.33× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mill Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mill Hill

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chelsea eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 11% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025170601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025170601?

Census tract 25025170601 in the Mill Hill neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025170601?

Median gross rent is $1,864/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025170601?

2.0% of residents in tract 25025170601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,347.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025170601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 66th, minority 71th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 25025170601 considered part of Mill Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025170601 fall within Mill Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025170601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 80 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025170601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.73% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25025170601 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.85× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25025170601 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25025170601 compare to Chelsea overall?

Tract 25025170601 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Chelsea at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chelsea eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25025170601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chelsea

Top eight tracts in Chelsea ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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