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Neighborhood · Chelsea, MA

Mill Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 11,811 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.4/10 · range 5.9–9.2

Mill Hill takes in 2 census tracts of Chelsea, MA and houses 11,811 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.4/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 34.7% citywide, putting Mill Hill 25.7% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.9 to 9.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.3/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. Food insecurity affects 30.2% of adults, 12.4 points above the national rate.

Court records carry 378 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. 15.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Average gross rent is $1,723, 12% below the Chelsea average of $1,956. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 6.5% of renter households. That places it #8 of 7 neighborhoods in Chelsea.

Judgments average 1.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Cary Square and Admirals Hill. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $80,483.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 3.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Mill Hill vs Chelsea How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.4% +74%
Chelsea: 34.7%
Average gross rent
$1,723 -12%
Chelsea: $1,956
Average HH income
$80,483 +11%
Chelsea: $72,220
Poverty rate
14.4% -30%
Chelsea: 20.6%
Renter share
49.9% -33%
Chelsea: 74.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mill Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.9–9.2

Why Mill Hill scores 7.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 7.7–8.3 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.9–6.2 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
50% renter households · Range 9.1–9.8 across tracts
9.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.9 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
14.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–7.2 across tracts
3.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.6 across tracts
1.3
Risk score comparison

Mill Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mill Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.4Mill HillNeighborhood7.8Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Mill Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025160502 9.2 5,464 59% $1,560
25025170601 5.9 6,347 61% $1,864
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 61%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 79%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mill Hill

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 378Total filings (sum)
  • 3.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.5%Peak year (2016)
  • 3.77%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 205Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.1Avg monthly observed
  • 2.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.77×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mill Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Mill Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mill Hill?

Mill Hill scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mill Hill compare to Chelsea overall?

Mill Hill scores 0.4 points lower than Chelsea overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,723 vs $1,956.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mill Hill?

Average gross rent in Mill Hill is $1,723/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mill Hill residents are renters?

50% of Mill Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 74% in Chelsea). The neighborhood has 11,811 residents.
Q5

Is Mill Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Mill Hill sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Mill Hill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mill Hill is census tract 25025160502 (score 9.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.9 to 9.2, a spread of 3.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Mill Hill for landlords?

Mill Hill carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chelsea as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Mill Hill?

Mill Hill has 11,321 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (50.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.1%), Other / Multiracial (13%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mill Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chelsea

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mill Hill.

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