Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,848 of 84,120 nationally
Mill Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chelsea
Tract 25025160502 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 5,464 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Mill Hill area of Chelsea anchors census tract 25025160502, which lands at 7.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 96% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,560 a month while the average household earns $55,568 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,852
Renter share71.8%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$55,568
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chelsea and the region
Centroid at 42.3943, -71.0196 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mill Hill scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chelsea
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,560 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chelsea
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chelsea
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chelsea
7.9
How Mill Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 4%Grade C
- 25%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 298Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2016)
- 78Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 154Total filings 2020-21
- 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mill Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.2%Housing insecurity
- 20.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.1%Food insecurity
- 45.3%SNAP enrollment
- 21.2%Transit barriers
- 19.0%No health insurance
- 21.1%Frequent mental distress
- 37.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mill Hill
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chelsea eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 32.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.67x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025160502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025160502?
Census tract 25025160502 in the Mill Hill neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025160502?
Median gross rent is $1,560/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025160502?
28.9% of residents in tract 25025160502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,464.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025160502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 93th, minority 86th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 25025160502 considered part of Mill Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025160502 fall within Mill Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025160502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 298 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025160502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.33% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025160502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025160502 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025160502 compare to Chelsea overall?
Tract 25025160502 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Chelsea at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chelsea eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025160502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 25% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chelsea
Top eight tracts in Chelsea ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Park Square
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Bellingham Hill
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Chelsea Square
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Bellingham Square Historic District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Cary Square
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Prattville
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Admirals Hill
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Cary Square
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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