Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Old Centre Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Winchendon
Tract 25027701101 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,663 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 25027701101 sits in the Old Centre Historic District area of Winchendon, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. Population here is 4,663. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,697
Renter share11.0%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$100,807
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winchendon and the region
Centroid at 42.6644, -72.0275 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Centre Historic District scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winchendon
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,061 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchendon
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchendon
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchendon
6.8
How Old Centre Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Centre Historic District
The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.7/10. At $1,061 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Winchendon commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $100,807, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Worcester County average of 5.8 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027701101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027701101?
Census tract 25027701101 in the Old Centre Historic District neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027701101?
Median gross rent is $1,061/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027701101?
10.6% of residents in tract 25027701101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,663.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027701101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 7th, minority 26th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 25027701101 considered part of Old Centre Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027701101 fall within Old Centre Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25027701101 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25027701101 compare to Winchendon overall?
Tract 25027701101 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Winchendon at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchendon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winchendon
Top eight tracts in Winchendon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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