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Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

South Lancaster Eviction Risk: Lower , Clinton

Tract 25027716200 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,023 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 25027716200 covers the South Lancaster area of Clinton, home to 3,023 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 75th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,232 monthly, set against $77,935 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 28% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,363
Renter share47.4%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$77,935

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In South Lancaster
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Clinton
Very High
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#88 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Moderate
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#762 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Clinton and the region

Centroid at 42.4261, -71.6880 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Lancaster scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Clinton
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,232 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clinton
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clinton
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clinton
5.4

How South Lancaster compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Lancaster risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 716200Clinton: 5.85.8Clintonparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 12Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak (2015)
  • 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Lancaster. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Lancaster

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Clinton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Worcester County average of 6.0 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027716200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027716200?

Census tract 25027716200 in the South Lancaster neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027716200?

Median gross rent is $1,232/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027716200?

7.4% of residents in tract 25027716200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,023.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027716200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 26th, minority 38th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 25027716200 considered part of South Lancaster?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027716200 fall within South Lancaster (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027716200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027716200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.84% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027716200 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027716200 compare to Clinton overall?

Tract 25027716200 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Clinton at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clinton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Clinton

Top eight tracts in Clinton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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