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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

State Fair Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ferndale

Tract 26125175300 · Oakland County, MI · pop 4,241 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

26125175300 is a census tract in the State Fair area of Hazel Park, MI. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 19% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,772
Renter share29.7%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$64,182

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In State Fair
Very High
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Ferndale
Elevated
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 350 tracts In Oakland County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#494 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ferndale and the region

Centroid at 42.4532, -83.1032 · click any tract to drill in

Why State Fair scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ferndale
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,311 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ferndale
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ferndale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ferndale
5.8

How State Fair compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
State Fair risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 1753004.0Ferndaleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within State Fair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in State Fair

Against the Oakland County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7.2/10. Cost burden runs around a third here against 39.8% across Oakland County.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,311, close to the Hazel Park average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 26125175300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26125175300?

Census tract 26125175300 in the State Fair neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26125175300?

Median gross rent is $1,311/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26125175300?

17.3% of residents in tract 26125175300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,241.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26125175300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 71th, minority 40th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 26125175300 considered part of State Fair?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26125175300 fall within State Fair (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26125175300 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26125175300 compare to Ferndale overall?

Tract 26125175300 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Ferndale at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ferndale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26125175300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 65% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ferndale

Top eight tracts in Ferndale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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