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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

State Fair Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ferndale

Tract 26125173600 · Oakland County, MI · pop 1,529 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 26125173600 sits in the State Fair area of Ferndale, MI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 27% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units785
Renter share38.1%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$71,484

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In State Fair
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Ferndale
Moderate
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#121 of 350 tracts In Oakland County
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#1,184 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ferndale and the region

Centroid at 42.4545, -83.1159 · click any tract to drill in

Why State Fair scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ferndale
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,300 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ferndale
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ferndale
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ferndale
3.9

How State Fair compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
State Fair risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 1736004.0Ferndaleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within State Fair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in State Fair

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Oakland County average of 39.8%.

The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.2/10.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Oakland County average of 4.0 closely. Average gross rent is $1,300, close to the Ferndale average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $71,484.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 26125173600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26125173600?

Census tract 26125173600 in the State Fair neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26125173600?

Median gross rent is $1,300/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26125173600?

4.4% of residents in tract 26125173600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,529.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26125173600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 3th, minority 29th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 26125173600 considered part of State Fair?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26125173600 fall within State Fair (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26125173600 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26125173600 compare to Ferndale overall?

Tract 26125173600 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Ferndale at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ferndale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26125173600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 86% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ferndale

Top eight tracts in Ferndale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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