Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
State Fair Eviction Risk: Lower , Ferndale
Tract 26125173600 · Oakland County, MI · pop 1,529 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 26125173600 belongs to State Fair in Ferndale, Michigan. It is home to 1,529 residents and scores 5.3/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 49% of US census tracts.
29% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,300 a month while the average household earns $71,484 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units785
Renter share38.1%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$71,484
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ferndale and the region
Centroid at 42.4545, -83.1159 · click any tract to drill in
Why State Fair scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ferndale
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,300 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ferndale
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ferndale
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ferndale
3.9
How State Fair compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 86%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within State Fair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 10.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 22.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in State Fair
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ferndale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Oakland County average of 5.7 and below the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 86% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 26125173600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26125173600?
Census tract 26125173600 in the State Fair neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26125173600?
Median gross rent is $1,300/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26125173600?
4.4% of residents in tract 26125173600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,529.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26125173600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 3th, minority 29th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 26125173600 considered part of State Fair?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26125173600 fall within State Fair (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 26125173600 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 26125173600 compare to Ferndale overall?
Tract 26125173600 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of Ferndale at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ferndale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 26125173600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 86% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ferndale
Top eight tracts in Ferndale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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