Neighborhood · Ferndale, MI

State Fair Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 5,770 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 2.3–4.2

State Fair is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Ferndale with 2 census tracts and a population of 5,770 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 34% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 12% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,308/month sits 0% lower than the Ferndale citywide average ($1,311).

Risk score

3.7

Lower

2 tracts · population-weighted

State Fair vs Ferndale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

33.8% +37%

Ferndale: 24.7%

Average gross rent

$1,308 0%

Ferndale: $1,311

Average HH income

$66,117 -28%

Ferndale: $91,732

Poverty rate

13.9% +75%

Ferndale: 7.9%

Renter share

31.9% -5%

Ferndale: 33.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across State Fair and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.3–4.2

Why State Fair scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Rent control risk

34% of income on rent · Range 3.5–5.1 across tracts

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–3.6 across tracts

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

32% renter households · Range 6.9–7.9 across tracts

7.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.9–5.8 across tracts

5.3

Economic stress

13.9% below poverty line · Range 1.1–4.3 across tracts

3.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.4–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Risk score comparison

State Fair vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in State Fair

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
26125175300	4.2	4,241	36%	$1,311
26125173600	2.3	1,529	29%	$1,300

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 53%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 53%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 37%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 29%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in State Fair

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.3%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility shutoff threat
15.3%Food insecurity
13.8%SNAP enrollment
6.9%No health insurance
25.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About State Fair

What is the eviction-risk score for State Fair?

State Fair scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does State Fair compare to Ferndale overall?

State Fair scores 0.6 points higher than Ferndale overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,308 vs $1,311.

What is the average rent in State Fair?

Average gross rent in State Fair is $1,308/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of State Fair residents are renters?

32% of State Fair households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Ferndale). The neighborhood has 5,770 residents.

Is State Fair a high social-vulnerability area?

State Fair sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in State Fair have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in State Fair is census tract 26125175300 (score 4.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.3 to 4.2, a spread of 1.9 points.

How safe is State Fair for landlords?

State Fair carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ferndale as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of State Fair?

State Fair has 5,677 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.4%), Other / Multiracial (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near State Fair

2.8 Pembroke 8 tracts · pop 20,171 2.3 Kenning 2 tracts · pop 5,455 1.1 Pierce 2 tracts · pop 7,200 1.4 Lincoln Hills 2 tracts · pop 6,149 1.3 Charing Cross 3 tracts · pop 9,776 1.6 Grandview 2 tracts · pop 10,977

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ferndale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to State Fair.

2.3 Palmer Woods 1 tracts · pop 2,360 1.9 Sherwood Forest 1 tracts · pop 5,166

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