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Neighborhood · Ferndale, MI

State Fair Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,770 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 4.3–5.5

State Fair spans 2 census tracts of Ferndale, MI and houses 5,770 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 34% against 24.7% citywide, putting State Fair 9.1% over its own city.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 4.3 to 5.5. A 1.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Severe burden reaches 12%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

For a like-for-like read, Palmer Woods and Sherwood Forest score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $1,308, close to the Ferndale average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $66,117.

32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
State Fair vs Ferndale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.8% +37%
Ferndale: 24.7%
Average gross rent
$1,308 0%
Ferndale: $1,311
Average HH income
$66,117 -28%
Ferndale: $91,732
Poverty rate
13.9% +75%
Ferndale: 7.9%
Renter share
31.9% -5%
Ferndale: 33.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across State Fair and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.3–5.5

Why State Fair scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 3.5–5.1 across tracts
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–3.6 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 6.9–7.9 across tracts
7.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.9–5.8 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
13.9% below poverty line · Range 1.1–4.3 across tracts
3.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.4–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

State Fair vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

State Fair score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2State FairNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in State Fair

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
26125175300 5.5 4,241 36% $1,311
26125173600 4.3 1,529 29% $1,300
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 53%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 37%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in State Fair

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About State Fair

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for State Fair?

State Fair scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does State Fair compare to Ferndale overall?

State Fair scores 1.2 points higher than Ferndale overall (4/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,308 vs $1,311.
Q3

What is the average rent in State Fair?

Average gross rent in State Fair is $1,308/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of State Fair residents are renters?

32% of State Fair households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Ferndale). The neighborhood has 5,770 residents.
Q5

Is State Fair a high social-vulnerability area?

State Fair sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in State Fair have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in State Fair is census tract 26125175300 (score 5.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.3 to 5.5, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is State Fair for landlords?

State Fair carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ferndale as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of State Fair?

State Fair has 5,677 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.4%), Other / Multiracial (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near State Fair

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ferndale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to State Fair.

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