Buena Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Saginaw

Food insecurity runs 54.7% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 34.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 9.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Saginaw County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Saginaw. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.