Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally
State Fair Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit
Tract 26163508000 · Wayne County, MI · pop 1,143 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 26163508000 covers the State Fair area of Detroit in Michigan. Home to 1,143 residents, it scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $299 a month against an average household income of $12,529 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 91% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units543
Renter share90.8%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate66.9%
Median income$12,529
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Detroit and the region
Centroid at 42.4393, -83.1132 · click any tract to drill in
Why State Fair scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Detroit
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
66.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$299 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Detroit
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Detroit
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Detroit
6.0
How State Fair compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 58%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within State Fair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 47.9%Housing insecurity
- 45.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 65.2%Food insecurity
- 75.6%SNAP enrollment
- 35.4%Transit barriers
- 14.5%No health insurance
- 28.8%Frequent mental distress
- 53.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in State Fair
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Detroit eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Wayne County average of 6.4 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 26163508000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163508000?
Census tract 26163508000 in the State Fair neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26163508000?
Median gross rent is $299/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26163508000?
66.9% of residents in tract 26163508000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,143.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26163508000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 92th, minority 84th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 26163508000 considered part of State Fair?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163508000 fall within State Fair (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 26163508000 struggle to pay rent?
About 47.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 45.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 26163508000 compare to Detroit overall?
Tract 26163508000 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Detroit at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Detroit eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 26163508000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Detroit
Top eight tracts in Detroit ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MI
Warrendale
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Fiskhorn
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Buffalo Charles
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Warrendale
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Joseph Berry Sub
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Franklin Park
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Pilgrim Village
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
West Village
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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