Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

State Fair Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

Tract 26163508100 · Wayne County, MI · pop 1,456 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Here is how census tract 26163508100, in the State Fair neighborhood of Detroit eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.3/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 1,456. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,128 monthly, set against $28,403 in average yearly household income, roughly 48% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 20% Owners 60%

Tract context

Occupied units411

Renter share40.6%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate56.1%

Median income$28,403

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Detroit and the region

Centroid at 42.4409, -83.1015 · click any tract to drill in

Why State Fair scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Detroit

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.9

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

56.1% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,128 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Detroit

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Detroit

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Detroit

6.0

How State Fair compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
98%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
98%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within State Fair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

39.0%Housing insecurity
34.3%Utility-shutoff threat
53.9%Food insecurity
60.9%SNAP enrollment
27.8%Transit barriers
15.0%No health insurance
25.0%Frequent mental distress
48.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in State Fair

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Detroit eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Wayne County average of 6.4 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 39.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 34.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163508100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163508100?

Census tract 26163508100 in the State Fair neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26163508100?

Median gross rent is $1,128/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163508100?

56.1% of residents in tract 26163508100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,456.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163508100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 94th, minority 98th, housing 61th.

Is tract 26163508100 considered part of State Fair?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163508100 fall within State Fair (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26163508100 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 34.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26163508100 compare to Detroit overall?

Tract 26163508100 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Detroit at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Detroit eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26163508100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Detroit

Top eight tracts in Detroit ranked by composite eviction-risk score.