Virginia Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Detroit

SNAP participation runs 39.1% against 15.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 58% here against 46.6% across Wayne County. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 23.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Wayne County average of 4.6.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.