Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Waconia Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27019090303 · Carver County, MN · pop 4,254 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Waconia
Census tract 27019090303 covers part of Waconia, MN, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,254 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.3/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,715
Renter share35.4%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$65,272
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waconia and the region
Centroid at 44.8475, -93.7899 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waconia scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waconia
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,096 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waconia
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waconia
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waconia
4.1
How Waconia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.1%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waconia
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Against the Carver County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.
46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Carver County average of 38.4%. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Average gross rent is $1,096, 18% below the Waconia average. Food insecurity runs 8.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 6.6% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $65,272. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27019090303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019090303?
Census tract 27019090303 in Waconia scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27019090303?
Median gross rent is $1,096/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27019090303?
5.3% of residents in tract 27019090303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,254.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27019090303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 60th, minority 20th, housing 60th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27019090303 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27019090303 compare to Waconia overall?
Tract 27019090303 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Waconia at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waconia; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waconia
Top eight tracts in Waconia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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