Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Waconia Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27019090303 · Carver County, MN · pop 4,254 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Waconia
Eviction risk in Waconia centers on tract 27019090303, which scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,254 residents. That is riskier than about 23% of US census tracts.
About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,096 monthly, set against $65,272 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,715
Renter share35.4%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$65,272
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waconia and the region
Centroid at 44.8475, -93.7899 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waconia scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waconia
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,096 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waconia
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waconia
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waconia
4.1
How Waconia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.1%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waconia
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 5.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waconia, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Carver County average of 4.4 and below the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27019090303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019090303?
Census tract 27019090303 in Waconia scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27019090303?
Median gross rent is $1,096/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27019090303?
5.3% of residents in tract 27019090303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,254.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27019090303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 60th, minority 20th, housing 60th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27019090303 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27019090303 compare to Waconia overall?
Tract 27019090303 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of Waconia at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waconia; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waconia
Top eight tracts in Waconia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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