Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Lowry Hill East Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053007700 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 5,644 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 27053007700 covers part of the Lowry Hill East area of Minneapolis, MN, and scores 7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,644. This is renter territory: 91% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 62%
Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units3,665
Renter share91.0%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$76,534
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9502, -93.2875 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lowry Hill East scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,721 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Lowry Hill East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 84%Grade C
- 6%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 153Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2009)
- 26Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,166Total filings 2020-21
- 15.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 5.47×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lowry Hill East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 20.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lowry Hill East
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Hennepin County average of 43.1%.
It sits 1.9 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. At $1,721 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of Minneapolis commands.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 153 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2009 at 3.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053007700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053007700?
Census tract 27053007700 in the Lowry Hill East neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053007700?
Median gross rent is $1,721/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053007700?
8.3% of residents in tract 27053007700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,644.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053007700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 2th, minority 59th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 27053007700 considered part of Lowry Hill East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053007700 fall within Lowry Hill East (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053007700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 153 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053007700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.24% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053007700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 5.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053007700 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053007700 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053007700 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053007700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related