Powderhorn Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053008500 ·
Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,878 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 7.8/10, tract 27053008500 in the Powderhorn Park area of Minneapolis, MN reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,878 residents. It sits 2.7 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%Stable renters 21%Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,639
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$64,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Powderhorn Park
Very High
Within parent city
55th percentile
#55 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
Elevated
Within county
84th percentile
#54 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
High
Within state
95th percentile
#77 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9429, -93.2572 · click any tract to drill in
Why Powderhorn Park scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,176 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Powderhorn Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
78%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
64%Grade B
10%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
199Total filings over 5 yrs
3.91%Avg annual filing rate
5.0%Peak (2009)
37Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2013
Filings dropped 24% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
150Total filings 2020-21
2.0Avg monthly (observed)
2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.87×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Powderhorn Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.7%Housing insecurity
7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
10.2%SNAP enrollment
9.4%Transit barriers
12.7%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Powderhorn Park
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. Court records carry 199 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
At $1,176 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands. Filings peaked in 2009 at 5.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053008500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053008500?
Census tract 27053008500 in the Powderhorn Park neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053008500?
Median gross rent is $1,176/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053008500?
13.2% of residents in tract 27053008500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,878.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053008500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 77th, minority 69th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 27053008500 considered part of Powderhorn Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053008500 fall within Powderhorn Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053008500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 199 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053008500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.91% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053008500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.87× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053008500 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053008500 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053008500 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053008500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.