Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
Bancroft Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053009600 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,284 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 27053009600 covers part of the Bancroft area of Minneapolis, MN, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It sits 2.6 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,315
Renter share26.2%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$86,734
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9332, -93.2587 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bancroft scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,260 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Bancroft compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 100%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 135Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.0%Peak (2013)
- 33Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 73Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bancroft. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bancroft
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. Court records carry 135 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 6.0% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
At $1,260 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $86,734, annual rent is just 17%.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 3.2 points hotter. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053009600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053009600?
Census tract 27053009600 in the Bancroft neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053009600?
Median gross rent is $1,260/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053009600?
17.8% of residents in tract 27053009600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,284.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053009600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 54th, minority 59th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 27053009600 considered part of Bancroft?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053009600 fall within Bancroft (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053009600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 135 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053009600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.51% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053009600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053009600 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053009600 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053009600 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053009600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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