Bancroft Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. Court records carry 135 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 6.0% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

At $1,260 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $86,734, annual rent is just 17%.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 3.2 points hotter. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.