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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

Bancroft Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 6,069 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 6.2–7.7

Bancroft spans 2 census tracts of Minneapolis, MN and houses 6,069 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a Minneapolis baseline of 29.3%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.2 to 7.7, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

Filings are well documented here: 197 across 2 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 6.0% of renter households.

At $1,266 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands. That places it #38 of 75 neighborhoods in Minneapolis. Judgments average 1.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Only 27% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bancroft vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.2% +47%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,266 -8%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$92,273 +15%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
12.3% -25%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
27.1% -48%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bancroft and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.2–7.7

Why Bancroft scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
12.3% below poverty line · Range 1.4–4.4 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Bancroft vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bancroft score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Bancroft: 7.07.0BancroftNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.54.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bancroft

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053009600 7.7 3,284 49% $1,260
27053110100 6.2 2,785 37% $1,272
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bancroft

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 197Total filings (sum)
  • 4.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.0%Peak year (2013)
  • 4.82%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 100Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly observed
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.68×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bancroft

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bancroft

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bancroft?

Bancroft scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bancroft compare to Minneapolis overall?

Bancroft scores 0.4 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,266 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bancroft?

Average gross rent in Bancroft is $1,266/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bancroft residents are renters?

27% of Bancroft households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 6,069 residents.
Q5

Is Bancroft a high social-vulnerability area?

Bancroft sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bancroft have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bancroft is census tract 27053009600 (score 7.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.2 to 7.7, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Bancroft for landlords?

Bancroft carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bancroft?

Bancroft has 6,427 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.1%), Hispanic / Latino (25.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bancroft

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bancroft.

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