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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

Bancroft Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 6,069 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 6.2–7.7

Bancroft spans 2 census tracts of Minneapolis, MN and houses 6,069 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a Minneapolis baseline of 29.3%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.2 to 7.7, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

Filings are well documented here: 197 across 2 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 6.0% of renter households.

At $1,266 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands. That places it #38 of 75 neighborhoods in Minneapolis. Judgments average 1.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Only 27% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bancroft vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.2% +47%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,266 -8%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$92,273 +15%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
12.3% -25%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
27.1% -48%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bancroft and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.2–7.7

Why Bancroft scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
12.3% below poverty line · Range 1.4–4.4 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Bancroft vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bancroft score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.0BancroftNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bancroft

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
27053009600 7.7 3,284 49% $1,260
27053110100 6.2 2,785 37% $1,272
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bancroft

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 197Total filings (sum)
  • 4.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.0%Peak year (2013)
  • 4.82%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 100Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly observed
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.68×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bancroft

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bancroft

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bancroft?

Bancroft scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bancroft compare to Minneapolis overall?

Bancroft scores 0.4 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,266 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bancroft?

Average gross rent in Bancroft is $1,266/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bancroft residents are renters?

27% of Bancroft households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 6,069 residents.
Q5

Is Bancroft a high social-vulnerability area?

Bancroft sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bancroft have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bancroft is census tract 27053009600 (score 7.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.2 to 7.7, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Bancroft for landlords?

Bancroft carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bancroft?

Bancroft has 6,427 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.1%), Hispanic / Latino (25.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bancroft

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bancroft.

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