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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Shingle Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brooklyn Center

Tract 27053020304 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,959 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

With a score of 5/10, tract 27053020304 in the Shingle Creek area of Brooklyn Center, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,959 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 20% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,259
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$65,288

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Shingle Creek
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 9 tracts In Brooklyn Center
Low
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#164 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Moderate
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#457 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brooklyn Center and the region

Centroid at 45.0682, -93.3206 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shingle Creek scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,361 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
6.1

How Shingle Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shingle Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0203044.6Brooklyn Centerparent city5.1Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 170Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 9.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak (2013)
  • 48Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27053020304
Filings climbed 33% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 297Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.96×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shingle Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shingle Creek

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10. Cost burden runs 50% here against 43.1% across Hennepin County. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.4/10.

Food insecurity runs 26.4% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 170 evictions over 5 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2013 at 9.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 9.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Hennepin County average of 5.1 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,361, close to the Brooklyn Center average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053020304

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053020304?

Census tract 27053020304 in the Shingle Creek neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053020304?

Median gross rent is $1,361/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053020304?

5.9% of residents in tract 27053020304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,959.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053020304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 78th, minority 77th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 27053020304 considered part of Shingle Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053020304 fall within Shingle Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053020304?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 170 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053020304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.94% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27053020304 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.96× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27053020304 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 27053020304 compare to Brooklyn Center overall?

Tract 27053020304 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Brooklyn Center at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brooklyn Center eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brooklyn Center

Top eight tracts in Brooklyn Center ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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