Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Shingle Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Brooklyn Center
Tract 27053020304 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,959 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
The Shingle Creek neighborhood of Brooklyn Center is where census tract 27053020304 sits, home to 3,959 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.6/10. That is riskier than about 61% of US census tracts.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,361 a month against an average household income of $65,288 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,259
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$65,288
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brooklyn Center and the region
Centroid at 45.0682, -93.3206 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shingle Creek scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,361 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
6.1
How Shingle Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 170Total filings over 5 yrs
- 9.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2013)
- 48Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 297Total filings 2020-21
- 3.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.96×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shingle Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.4%Housing insecurity
- 12.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.4%Food insecurity
- 19.7%SNAP enrollment
- 13.9%Transit barriers
- 14.5%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 32.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shingle Creek
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Brooklyn Center eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.96x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 170 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 9.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.6% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053020304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053020304?
Census tract 27053020304 in the Shingle Creek neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053020304?
Median gross rent is $1,361/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053020304?
5.9% of residents in tract 27053020304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,959.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053020304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 78th, minority 77th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 27053020304 considered part of Shingle Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053020304 fall within Shingle Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053020304?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 170 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053020304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.94% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053020304 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.96× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053020304 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053020304 compare to Brooklyn Center overall?
Tract 27053020304 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Brooklyn Center at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brooklyn Center eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brooklyn Center
Top eight tracts in Brooklyn Center ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27053020201
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Shingle Creek
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27053020302
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27053020202
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Shingle Creek
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Lind-Bohanon
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27053020303
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053020301
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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