Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Shingle Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brooklyn Center
Tract 27053020500 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,734 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
How risky is Shingle Creek in Brooklyn Center for landlords? Census tract 27053020500 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 75th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,914 a month while the average household earns $87,228 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,281
Renter share10.1%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$87,228
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brooklyn Center and the region
Centroid at 45.0566, -93.2983 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shingle Creek scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,914 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
6.1
How Shingle Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 121Total filings over 5 yrs
- 11.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.5%Peak (2011)
- 23Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 55Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shingle Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.9%Food insecurity
- 13.9%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 12.3%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shingle Creek
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Brooklyn Center eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 1% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 121 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 11.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.5% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053020500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053020500?
Census tract 27053020500 in the Shingle Creek neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053020500?
Median gross rent is $1,914/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053020500?
14.6% of residents in tract 27053020500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,734.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053020500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 40th, minority 72th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 27053020500 considered part of Shingle Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053020500 fall within Shingle Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053020500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 121 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053020500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.64% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053020500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053020500 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053020500 compare to Brooklyn Center overall?
Tract 27053020500 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Brooklyn Center at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brooklyn Center eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053020500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brooklyn Center
Top eight tracts in Brooklyn Center ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27053020201
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Shingle Creek
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27053020302
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27053020202
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Lind-Bohanon
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Shingle Creek
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053020303
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053020301
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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