Shingle Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brooklyn Center

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.2/10.

Court records carry 121 eviction filings across 5 observed years. The voucher gap is 13.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Filings peaked in 2011 at 9.5% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 11.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.