Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Shingle Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brooklyn Center
Tract 27053020400 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 5,366 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
The Shingle Creek neighborhood of Brooklyn Center anchors census tract 27053020400, which lands at 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,144 a month against an average household income of $60,625 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,037
Renter share41.4%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$60,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brooklyn Center and the region
Centroid at 45.0528, -93.3281 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shingle Creek scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,144 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brooklyn Center
6.1
How Shingle Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 315Total filings over 5 yrs
- 7.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2011)
- 39Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 52% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 301Total filings 2020-21
- 3.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.24×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shingle Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.6%Housing insecurity
- 10.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 17.4%SNAP enrollment
- 12.5%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shingle Creek
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Brooklyn Center eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053020400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053020400?
Census tract 27053020400 in the Shingle Creek neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053020400?
Median gross rent is $1,144/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053020400?
16.7% of residents in tract 27053020400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,366.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053020400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 71th, minority 74th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 27053020400 considered part of Shingle Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053020400 fall within Shingle Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053020400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 315 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053020400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.87% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053020400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.24× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053020400 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053020400 compare to Brooklyn Center overall?
Tract 27053020400 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Brooklyn Center at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brooklyn Center eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brooklyn Center
Top eight tracts in Brooklyn Center ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27053020201
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27053020302
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27053020202
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Shingle Creek
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Lind-Bohanon
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Shingle Creek
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053020303
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053020301
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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