Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
New Hope Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 27053021501 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,737
27053021501 is a census tract in New Hope, MN. It scores 6.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,737 residents. roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Hennepin County average of 43.1%.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units2,037
Renter share48.8%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$78,558
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Hope and the region
Centroid at 45.0627, -93.3899 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Hope scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Hope
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,329 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Hope
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Hope
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Hope
6.7
How New Hope compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 184Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2009)
- 31Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 207Total filings 2020-21
- 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.32×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.9%Food insecurity
- 11.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Hope
The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 184 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2009 at 7.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,329, close to the New Hope average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053021501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053021501?
Census tract 27053021501 in New Hope scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053021501?
Median gross rent is $1,329/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053021501?
10.8% of residents in tract 27053021501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,737.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053021501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 90th, minority 61th, housing 89th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053021501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 184 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053021501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.80% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053021501 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.32× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053021501 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053021501 compare to New Hope overall?
Tract 27053021501 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of New Hope at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Hope eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Hope
Top eight tracts in New Hope ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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