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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Central Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis

Tract 27053008400 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,309 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

27053008400 is a census tract in the Central area of Minneapolis, MN. It scores 6.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,309 residents. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 12% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units706
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$93,958

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Central
Moderate
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#84 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
Low
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#90 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Elevated
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#146 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region

Centroid at 44.9449, -93.2664 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,535 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0

How Central compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.5This tracttract 0084006.6Minneapolisparent city5.1Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 109Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.0%Peak (2009)
  • 15Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27053008400
Filings dropped 52% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 50Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.4 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2/10.

Court records carry 109 eviction filings across 5 observed years. At $1,535 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Minneapolis commands. Filings peaked in 2009 at 8.0% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053008400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053008400?

Census tract 27053008400 in the Central neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053008400?

Median gross rent is $1,535/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053008400?

7.9% of residents in tract 27053008400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,309.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053008400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 70th, minority 72th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 27053008400 considered part of Central?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053008400 fall within Central (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053008400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 109 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053008400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.85% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27053008400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27053008400 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 27053008400 compare to Minneapolis overall?

Tract 27053008400 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 27053008400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis

Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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