Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Willard-Hay Eviction Risk: Lower , Minneapolis
Tract 27053021700 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 5,348 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 27053021700 sits in the Willard-Hay area of Golden Valley eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. It is home to 5,348 residents. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units2,055
Renter share5.6%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$155,592
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 45.0010, -93.3344 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willard-Hay scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,058 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
5.2
How Willard-Hay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 39Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.6%Peak (2009)
- 7Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 27Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Willard-Hay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.4%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.7%Food insecurity
- 4.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 21.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willard-Hay
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. It sits 2.0 points below the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hennepin County average of 43.1%. The voucher gap is 22.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 6.7% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 4.1% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 39 filings here across 5 tracked years. Average gross rent is $2,058, 15% above the Golden Valley average.
Filings peaked in 2009 at 7.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053021700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053021700?
Census tract 27053021700 in the Willard-Hay neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053021700?
Median gross rent is $2,058/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053021700?
4.1% of residents in tract 27053021700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,348.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053021700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 20th, minority 15th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 27053021700 considered part of Willard-Hay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053021700 fall within Willard-Hay (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053021700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 39 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053021700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.75% of renter households, peaking at 7.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053021700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053021700 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053021700 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053021700 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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