Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Shadow Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Maple Grove
Tract 27053026718 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,660 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 27053026718 covers part of the Shadow Creek area of Maple Grove, MN, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,660 residents. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,513
Renter share31.5%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$135,856
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Maple Grove and the region
Centroid at 45.1118, -93.4851 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shadow Creek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Maple Grove
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,834 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maple Grove
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maple Grove
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maple Grove
3.7
How Shadow Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 39Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.26×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shadow Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 4.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 23.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shadow Creek
Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, about three-quarters of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
It sits 2.1 points below the Hennepin County average of 5.1. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10. SNAP participation runs 4.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 7.7% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $135,856, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053026718
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053026718?
Census tract 27053026718 in the Shadow Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053026718?
Median gross rent is $1,834/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053026718?
1.9% of residents in tract 27053026718 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,660.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053026718?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 41th, minority 37th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 27053026718 considered part of Shadow Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053026718 fall within Shadow Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053026718 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.26× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053026718 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053026718 compare to Maple Grove overall?
Tract 27053026718 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Maple Grove at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maple Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Maple Grove
Top eight tracts in Maple Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27053026707
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Shadow Creek
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Rolling Hills North
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026724
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026706
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026712
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026708
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026713
3
/ 10 · Low
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